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European Journal of Psychiatry Current state and future directions of biomarkers for bipolar disorder: A system...
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Vol. 39. Issue 4.
(October - December 2025)
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Vol. 39. Issue 4.
(October - December 2025)
Review article
Current state and future directions of biomarkers for bipolar disorder: A systematic review of studies from 2013 to 2025
Guocan Maa,b, Fengyi Haob,c, Soon-Kiat Chiangb,d, Dewen Zhoue, Roger C. Hob,f,
Corresponding author
rogercmho@ust.hk

Corresponding author at: Institute for Health Innovation and Technology (iHealthtech), National University of Singapore, 14 Medical Dr, #14-01 MD6, 117599, Singapore.
, Roger S. McIntyreg,h,i,j
a School of Medicine, Tsinghua Medicine, Tsinghua University, 100084, China
b Institute for Health Innovation and Technology (iHealthtech), National University of Singapore, 177599, Singapore
c Sleep Medicine Center, Mental Health Center, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, 610041, China
d Department of Psychological Medicine, Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, 119228, Singapore
e Institute of Psychology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100101, China
f Division of Life Science (LIFS), Hong Kong University of Science and Technology (HKUST), Clear Water Bay, Hong Kong
g Brain and Cognition Discovery Foundation, Toronto, ON, M4W 3W4, Canada
h Department of Pharmacology and Toxicology, University of Toronto, ON, M5S1A8, Canada
i Clinical Research Unit, Mood Disorder Psychopharmacology Unit, University Health Network, ON, M5T 2S8, Canada
j Institute of Medical Science, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, M5S 1A8, Canada
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Tables (5)
Table 1. A summary of molecular, fluid-based biomarkers.
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Table 2. A summary of neuroimaging and neurophysiological tests as biomarkers.
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Table 3. A summary of other biological tests as diagnostic markers.
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Table 4. Studies differentiating BD from other psychiatric disorders.
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Table 5. A summary of biomarkers showing evidence in multiple studies.
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Abstract
Background and objectives

Bipolar disorder (BD) is a severe mental disorder whose diagnosis heavily relies on subjective symptomatic assessments, thus a need for an objective tool to assist in the timely identification and treatment of BD.

Methods

We systematically reviewed the performance of objective diagnostic biomarkers for classification of BD that presented sensitivity and specificity values. A search on Ovid MEDLINE® ALL, PubMed, as well as manual searching were performed for literature dating from December 2013 to February 2025.

Results

Sixty-one studies were included in the review. Twenty-four of them reported mainly molecular, fluid-based biomarkers, twenty-five reported neurophysiological examinations as biomarkers, and six reported other forms of biomarkers. The most accurate biomarkers included voice features, apoptosis-related long non-coding RNAs, PIK3R1 (Phosphoinositide-3-kinase regulatory subunit 1) and FYN mRNAs, electroencephalography (EEG), functional near-infrared spectroscopy (fNIRS), multimodal magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), and serum VGF protein, with area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) or accuracy values of greater than 0.93. The majority (thirty-six) of the studies utilized machine learning-based classification algorithms.

Conclusions

The results have been promising and replicated for some biomarkers, but these results still need to be validated in larger samples. Future studies should focus on constructing larger cohorts of specific clinical subtypes of BD, predictive utility studies for BD patients initially diagnosed as major depressive disorder (MDD), and utilization of multimodal assessment and machine learning techniques.

Keywords:
Bipolar disorder
Biomarker
Neuroimaging
Neurophysiological markers
Precision psychiatry

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