Projection of the occurrence of work accidents based on unsafe act and work units

Abstract

Objective

To estimate the trends and prediction of work accidents during period 2009–2022.

Methods

The study design was a time series design. The population in this study is all data on work accidents at the company during period 2009–2015.

Results

For work accident data in 2009–2015 dominated by occupational accidents in unsafe positions with a percentage of 0.59–0.16%. After projecting future events for the next 7 years the highest occupational accidents turn into working on rotating objects with a percentage of 0.30–0.57%. Work accident data for work unit variables found that there were 76 cases of work accidents that occurred in 2009–2015. In the work unit, the maintenance department is the department with the highest accident with 40 cases in 2009–2015 (0.70–0.46%). After being analyzed, the prediction results for occupational accidents in 2016–2022 are still held by the maintenance department with a value of 38 cases (0.34–0.28%).

Conclusions

The trends and prediction for the next 7 years, there are an increase in work accidents based on unsafe act variable and a decrease for variable works unit.