Original Study
Predictors of Incident Fear of Falling in Community-Dwelling Older Adults

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jamda.2019.08.020Get rights and content

Abstract

Objectives

Fear of falling (FoF) is common in older people and may lead to physical decline, disability, poor quality of life, and falls. Several risk factors for FoF have been identified in cross-sectional studies, but evidence on predictors of its incidence is scarce. We investigated the latter in community-dwelling older people undergoing a comprehensive geriatric assessment at baseline and after a 2-year follow-up.

Design

Longitudinal study.

Setting and Participants

Convenience sample of community-dwelling people aged ≥60 years evaluated in an Irish university hospital.

Methods

Participants were evaluated at baseline (August 2007–May 2009) and after a 2-year follow-up. FoF was measured using the Modified Falls Efficacy Scale. Predictors of incident FoF at 2 years were investigated.

Results

At baseline, there were 563 participants (69% female, mean age 73 years). Among individuals that were not fearful at baseline, 105 (18.7%) developed FoF (incident FoF) after a median follow-up of 2.1 years. Individuals reporting incident FoF were older at baseline (P < .001), had worse performance in balance and physical function tests, and more frequently needed a walking aid (P < .001). Anxiety (P = .012) and depressive symptoms (P < .001) were more prevalent, as well as self-reported previous falls (P < .001). In multivariate analysis, older age, walking aid use, and a higher burden of depressive symptoms at baseline were predictors of incident FoF.

Conclusions and Implications

Almost a fifth of older adults using a walking aid and reporting depressive symptoms at baseline developed FoF after 2 years. These identifiable prodromal factors could help design FoF prevention strategies.

Section snippets

Methods

This study analyzed longitudinal data from participants evaluated in an Irish university hospital that offered a comprehensive geriatric assessment to community-dwelling people aged 60 and older. The assessment was carried out in the context of a research project aimed to test new technologies to maintain and enhance the independent living. The majority of participants (66.8%) were self-referrals attracted by the local media, whereas the others were referred as outpatients to receive further

Results

The study sample included 563 participants in whom FoF was investigated both at baseline and at the second assessment. Mean age was 72.7 ± 7.2 (range 60-92); 69.3% were female. At baseline, FoF was reported by 85 participants (15.1%), and the median MFES score was 9.90 (8.9-10.0). After a median follow-up of 2.1 years, the median MFES score was significantly lower [9.4 (7.0-10.0), P < .001]. Among individuals that were not fearful at baseline, 105 developed FoF (18.7%, incident FoF). Among

Discussion

In this longitudinal study of community-dwelling older adults, a 19% incidence of FoF was observed after a 2-year follow-up. Older age, a walking aid, and depressive symptoms at baseline seemed to be independently associated with incident FoF and may allow clinicians to identify patients at high risk of developing future FoF.

In the literature, the reported prevalence of FoF is highly variable, ranging from 3% to 85%,4 owing to different study settings and FoF measures. In our study, the

Conclusions and Implications

Incident FoF is common in community-dwelling older people. Older age, a walking aid, and a greater burden of depressive symptoms are independently associated with incident FoF. These predictors can be easily assessed during a routine clinical evaluation and allow to identify patients at risk of developing future FoF. Additionally, modifiable risk factors (eg, depressive symptoms and unsteadiness) may represent a target for prevention strategies. Therefore, our results provide evidence for

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    The TRIL Clinic was funded by Intel Corporation, the Industrial Development Agency (IDA) Ireland, and GE Healthcare (grant no. TRIL2007), with operational support from the Mercer’s Institute for Successful Ageing (MISA) at St James's Hospital, Dublin, Ireland. The financial sponsor played no role in the design, execution, analysis and interpretation of data, or writing of the study.

    The authors declare no conflicts of interest.

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