Original article
Clinical endoscopy
Cost-effectiveness analysis of chromoendoscopy for colorectal cancer surveillance in patients with ulcerative colitis

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gie.2013.10.026Get rights and content

Background

Recent studies report that the risk of colorectal cancer (CRC) among patients with ulcerative colitis (UC) may be lower than previously estimated. Although white-light endoscopy (WLE) with random biopsies is recommended for dysplasia detection in patients with UC, several studies reported increased detection of dysplasia by chromoendoscopy.

Objective

To analyze the cost effectiveness of chromoendoscopy relative to WLE or no endoscopy for CRC surveillance in patients with UC.

Design

Decision–analytic state–transition (Markov) model with Monte Carlo simulation.

Setting

To simulate the clinical course of chronic UC, we estimated dysplasia and CRC incidence and progression, endoscopic test characteristics, stage-specific mortality rates, and costs from published literature and Medicare reimbursement data.

Patients

Patients from a population-based age distribution with ulcerative colitis for ≥8 years.

Intervention

We compared 3 different strategies at various surveillance intervals: chromoendoscopy with targeted biopsies, WLE with random biopsies, and no surveillance. The robustness of the model was assessed by using probabilistic sensitivity analysis. One-way sensitivity analyses were performed to evaluate individual variables, and 3-dimensional analysis was used to examine the effects of varying screening intervals.

Main Outcome Measurements

Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER).

Results

Chromoendoscopy was found to be more effective and less costly than WLE at all surveillance intervals. However, compared with no surveillance, chromoendoscopy was cost effective only at surveillance intervals of at least 7 years, with an ICER of $77,176. Chromoendoscopy was the most cost effective strategy at sensitivity levels >0.23 for dysplasia detection and cost <$2200, regardless of the level of sensitivity of WLE for dysplasia detection. The estimated population lifetime risk of developing CRC ranged from 2.5% (annual chromoendoscopy) to 5.9% (chromoendoscopy every 10 years).

Limitations

Estimates used for the model are based on best available data in the literature.

Conclusion

Chromoendoscopy is both more effective and less costly than WLE and becomes cost effective relative to no surveillance when performed at intervals of ≥7 years.

Section snippets

Model design

We created a decision–analytic state–transition (Markov) model with Monte Carlo simulation by using TreeAge Pro 2009 (TreeAge, Williamstown, Mass). Patients could enter 1 of 3 pathways: no surveillance (natural history), WLE, or chromoendoscopy. Health states included chronic UC, chronic UC with dysplasia, post-colectomy, CRC, and death (Fig. 1). Possible causes of death included baseline mortality or mortality related to colonoscopy, surgery, or CRC. The Markov cycle length was 1 year. The

Base-case analyses

Our primary cost-effectiveness analysis showed that annual chromoendoscopy and WLE were dominated by no surveillance, and the ICER for biennial chromoendoscopy relative to no surveillance was cost prohibitive in the setting of updated CRC estimates among patients with UC (Table 2). By using a WTP threshold of $100,000 per QALY, chromoendoscopy became cost effective only at a surveillance interval of 7 years, with an ICER of $77,176 (Table 2). In a competing strategy analysis, in which we

Discussion

Our analysis indicates that chromoendoscopy is more effective and less costly than WLE for CRC surveillance in patients with UC but becomes cost effective only compared with no surveillance at surveillance intervals of at least 7 years, with a resultant ICER of less than a WTP threshold of $100,000 per QALY. After accounting for lower CRC incidence rates among patients with chronic UC, CRC surveillance every 1 to 2 years does not appear to be cost effective. To our knowledge, this is the first

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    DISCLOSURE: Research reported in this publication was supported by the National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases of the National Institutes of Health under Awards T32DK007191, K23 DK091742, K24 DK098311, and P30 DK043351. The content is solely the responsibility of the authors and does not necessarily represent the official views of the National Institutes of Health. A. Ananthakrishnan served on scientific advisory boards for Prometheus, Inc, Janssen pharmaceuticals, and Cubist pharmaceuticals. A. Chan served as a consultant for Bayer HealthCare, Pfizer Inc, and Millennium Pharmaceuticals. All other authors disclosed no financial relationships relevant to this publication.

    If you would like to chat with an author of this article, you may contact Dr Chan at [email protected].

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