ArticlesGlobal burden of cancers attributable to infections in 2008: a review and synthetic analysis
Introduction
Infection is recognised as a major cause of cancer worldwide. Prevention and treatment of infectious agents have already had a substantial effect on cancer prevention.1 A useful statistic to quantify this effect is the population attributable fraction (PAF), defined as the proportion of new cancer cases in a specific population that would have been prevented by a hypothetical intervention on a specific exposure. For infectious agents classified as carcinogenic to humans,2 we calculated the PAF worldwide and in eight regions, using GLOBOCAN statistics on estimated cancer incidence in 2008.3 Similar calculations have been done for cancer incidence data from 19904 and 2002.5 In this report, we substantially revised the methods to reduce uncertainties and biases resulting from lack of data on population-specific and age-specific infection prevalence. We also discuss a framework for calculating global attributable fractions that might be applied to other causes of cancer. Some physical or chemical carcinogens act synergistically with infectious agents to cause cancers; in these cases, the attributable fractions can add to more than 100%. We report the attributable fractions of infectious agents but do not report the contribution of any non-infectious cofactor.
Section snippets
Infectious agents
In February, 2009, an expert working group reviewed infectious agents that have been classified as carcinogenic to humans by the International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC) Monographs programme.6 Panel 1 shows these agents and their associated cancers, namely Helicobacter pylori (H pylori), hepatitis B virus (HBV), hepatitis C virus (HCV), Opisthorchis viverrini, Clonorchis sinensis, human papillomavirus (HPV), Epstein-Barr virus (EBV), human T-cell lymphotropic virus type 1 (HTLV-1),
Results
Table 2 shows the estimated number of cancer cases attributed to infection in 2008, in less developed and more developed regions. Of the estimated 12·7 million new cancers worldwide, around 2 million were attributable to infections, of which 1·6 million (80%) occurred in less developed regions. HBV, HCV, HPV, and H pylori were together responsible for 1·9 million cases worldwide. Figure 2 shows the contribution of these infectious agents to cancer burden in less developed and more developed
Discussion
The analysis described in this report and in the appendix shows that infection is an important contributor to the global cancer burden, with 16·1% of cancers diagnosed in 2008 being attributable to infections, although the contribution due to infection varies widely from region to region. The estimated burden of cancer in 2008 attributable to infections is an update of previous estimates for 20025 and 1990.4 Our estimates for 2008 are slightly lower than those for 2002, for global burden of
References (26)
- et al.
A review of human carcinogens–Part B: biological agents
Lancet Oncol
(2009) - et al.
Population attributable fraction of infection-related cancers in Korea
Ann Oncol
(2011) - et al.
Helicobacter pylori in gastric cancer established by CagA immunoblot as a marker of past infection
Gastroenterology
(2001) - et al.
Helicobacter pylori and gastric adenocarcinoma
Clin Microbiol Infect
(2009) - et al.
Decreased incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma in hepatitis B vaccines: a 20-year follow-up study
J Natl Cancer Inst
(2009) Monographs on the evaluation of carcinogenic risks to humans, volume 100. A review of carcinogen—Part B: biological agents
(2011)- et al.
Estimates of worldwide burden of cancer in 2008: GLOBOCAN 2008
Int J Cancer
(2010) - et al.
Cancer and infection: estimates of the attributable fraction in 1990
Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev
(1997) The global health burden of infection-associated cancers in the year 2002
Int J Cancer
(2006)World population prospects: the 2008 revision highlights
(2009)
GLOBOCAN 2008 v1.2, cancer incidence and mortality worldwide: IARC CancerBase 10
Cancer incidence in five continents, vol VIII. IARC scientific publications 155
Cancer incidence in five continents, vol IX. IARC scientific publications 160
Cited by (1948)
Gut microbial dysbiosis in the pathogenesis of leukemia: an immune-based perspective
2024, Experimental HematologyUnveiling intratumoral microbiota: An emerging force for colorectal cancer diagnosis and therapy
2024, Pharmacological ResearchTrends of gastric cancer burdens attributable to risk factors in China from 2000 to 2050
2024, The Lancet Regional Health - Western PacificEvolving Concepts in Helicobacter pylori Management
2024, Gastroenterology