Elsevier

The Lancet Oncology

Volume 13, Issue 6, June 2012, Pages 607-615
The Lancet Oncology

Articles
Global burden of cancers attributable to infections in 2008: a review and synthetic analysis

https://doi.org/10.1016/S1470-2045(12)70137-7Get rights and content

Summary

Background

Infections with certain viruses, bacteria, and parasites have been identified as strong risk factors for specific cancers. An update of their respective contribution to the global burden of cancer is warranted.

Methods

We considered infectious agents classified as carcinogenic to humans by the International Agency for Research on Cancer. We calculated their population attributable fraction worldwide and in eight geographical regions, using statistics on estimated cancer incidence in 2008. When associations were very strong, calculations were based on the prevalence of infection in cancer cases rather than in the general population. Estimates of infection prevalence and relative risk were extracted from published data.

Findings

Of the 12·7 million new cancer cases that occurred in 2008, the population attributable fraction (PAF) for infectious agents was 16·1%, meaning that around 2 million new cancer cases were attributable to infections. This fraction was higher in less developed countries (22·9%) than in more developed countries (7·4%), and varied from 3·3% in Australia and New Zealand to 32·7% in sub-Saharan Africa. Helicobacter pylori, hepatitis B and C viruses, and human papillomaviruses were responsible for 1·9 million cases, mainly gastric, liver, and cervix uteri cancers. In women, cervix uteri cancer accounted for about half of the infection-related burden of cancer; in men, liver and gastric cancers accounted for more than 80%. Around 30% of infection-attributable cases occur in people younger than 50 years.

Interpretation

Around 2 million cancer cases each year are caused by infectious agents. Application of existing public health methods for infection prevention, such as vaccination, safer injection practice, or antimicrobial treatments, could have a substantial effect on the future burden of cancer worldwide.

Funding

Fondation Innovations en Infectiologie (FINOVI) and the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation (BMGF).

Introduction

Infection is recognised as a major cause of cancer worldwide. Prevention and treatment of infectious agents have already had a substantial effect on cancer prevention.1 A useful statistic to quantify this effect is the population attributable fraction (PAF), defined as the proportion of new cancer cases in a specific population that would have been prevented by a hypothetical intervention on a specific exposure. For infectious agents classified as carcinogenic to humans,2 we calculated the PAF worldwide and in eight regions, using GLOBOCAN statistics on estimated cancer incidence in 2008.3 Similar calculations have been done for cancer incidence data from 19904 and 2002.5 In this report, we substantially revised the methods to reduce uncertainties and biases resulting from lack of data on population-specific and age-specific infection prevalence. We also discuss a framework for calculating global attributable fractions that might be applied to other causes of cancer. Some physical or chemical carcinogens act synergistically with infectious agents to cause cancers; in these cases, the attributable fractions can add to more than 100%. We report the attributable fractions of infectious agents but do not report the contribution of any non-infectious cofactor.

Section snippets

Infectious agents

In February, 2009, an expert working group reviewed infectious agents that have been classified as carcinogenic to humans by the International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC) Monographs programme.6 Panel 1 shows these agents and their associated cancers, namely Helicobacter pylori (H pylori), hepatitis B virus (HBV), hepatitis C virus (HCV), Opisthorchis viverrini, Clonorchis sinensis, human papillomavirus (HPV), Epstein-Barr virus (EBV), human T-cell lymphotropic virus type 1 (HTLV-1),

Results

Table 2 shows the estimated number of cancer cases attributed to infection in 2008, in less developed and more developed regions. Of the estimated 12·7 million new cancers worldwide, around 2 million were attributable to infections, of which 1·6 million (80%) occurred in less developed regions. HBV, HCV, HPV, and H pylori were together responsible for 1·9 million cases worldwide. Figure 2 shows the contribution of these infectious agents to cancer burden in less developed and more developed

Discussion

The analysis described in this report and in the appendix shows that infection is an important contributor to the global cancer burden, with 16·1% of cancers diagnosed in 2008 being attributable to infections, although the contribution due to infection varies widely from region to region. The estimated burden of cancer in 2008 attributable to infections is an update of previous estimates for 20025 and 1990.4 Our estimates for 2008 are slightly lower than those for 2002, for global burden of

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